Sunday March 13th: Solutions to the 6th practice final are now available (in the attachements at the bottom of this page).

 

Sunday March 6th: I have posted solutions to the first 5 practice finals.  Look in the attachments at the bottom of this page.  I have also posted the 6th practice final.  Solutions will follow later.

 

Tuesday March 1st: I have posted 5 practice finals below.

 

Tuesday Feb 2nd: Solutions to 5 of the practice midterms are now in the attachments at the bottom of this page.  Solutions to the 6th practice midterm will be posted later.

 

Tuesday Jan 26th:  My Tuesday office hours will be held noon-1pm, until further notice.

Tuesday Jan 19th: Arthur Lui's office hours have changed location.  They will be held Tuesday, 1-2pm BE 312B

 

Thursday January 14th: I decided to cover probability today, to tie in with yesterday's powerball jackpot.  I have modified the schedule below to reflect this.

 

Wednesday January 13th:  If you're thinking of buying a powerball ticket, read this first.  Then read this. We'll discuss the lottery in more detail when we cover probability. 

 

Tuesday, January 12th: Office hours will not meet today.  Please go to one of the TA's office hours, or send email.

Friday January 9th: Section 02F will remain in its original time slot, Wednesday, 8-9:10am.

Thursday January 7th: Section 02F is being rescheduled.  Please read the email you should have received regarding this.

Monday November 16th: Please do not email me asking if you can add the class.  As you know, there is a wait list, and you should add yourself to the wait list.

If you're still not enrolled by the first class session, come to the first class session where I will deal with those who want to add.  Please be aware, however, that past experience is that only a few of the people who are not enrolled by the start of the first class session are able to add.

 

General Class Information:

 

Lecture Times

Tuesday and Thursday, 10-11:45am, J Baskin Auditorium 101

 

Instructor

Robin Morris

email: rdm @ soe.ucsc.edu - please put "AMS5" in the subject line

phone: email is preferred; (408) 821 8932 if desperate

Office: Baskin Engineering 373

Office Hours: Tuesdays 1-2pm noon-1pm and Thursdays noon-1pm, or by appointment

 

TAs

Arthur Lui, alui2 @ ucsc.edu

Shuler, Kurtis, kshuler @ ucsc.edu

Garg, Garima, ggarg@ucsc.edu

TA office hours are

Sections

Section 02A: M 12:30-1:40pm, Baskin Engineering 372  - Kurtis Shuler

Section 02B: W 11:00-12:10pm, Baskin Engineering 372 - Arthur Lui

Section 02C: F 8:00-9:10am, Baskin Engineering 372 - Kurtis Shuler

Section 02D: Tu 6:00-7:10pm Baskin Engineering 156 - Garma Garg

Section 02E: Tu 7:30-8:40pm Baskin Engineering 156 - Garma Garg

Section 02F: W 8:00-9:10am Baskin Engineering 156 - Arthur Lui

The first section will meet on Friday January 8th, and the last section will meet on Wednesday, March 9th.

There are two holidays this quarter, MLK Day on Monday January 18th, and Presidents' Day on Monday February 15th.  Sections will not meet on those days. If you are registered for the Monday section, please attend one of the other sections those weeks.

 

Tutoring

MSI is available for AMS5 this quarter.  The MSI Learning Assistant Tutors are Zachary Martin: zjmartin@ucsc.edu and  Tianyi Zhang: tzhang20@ucsc.edu . The main MSI page is  http://lss.ucsc.edu/programs/modified-supplemental-instruction/index.html and the schedule, once determined, can be found at: https://eop.sa.ucsc.edu/msi/msischedule.cfm .  Additional tutoring for those who attend MSI may also be available.

MSI Schedule

Monday: 3:30-4:40 in Oakes LC - Zachary Martin

Tuesday: 12:15-1:25pm Oakes Learning Center - Tianyi Zhang
 
Wednesday: 2-3:10 in Arc 221 - Zachary Martin

Wednesday: 3:30-4:40 in Arc 221 - Zachary Martin
 
Thursday: 2:00-3:10pm Oakes Learning Center - Tianyi Zhang
 
Thursday: 6:00-7:10pm ARC 202 - Tianyi Zhang

Discussion Forum

There is a piazza discussion forum available at piazza.com/ucsc/winter2016/ams5/home

 

Textbook

Statistics, Freedman, Pisani and Purves, 4th Edition, W.W. Norton

 

Schedule

The proposed schedule is below.  Note that this may (will?) change depending on how the quarter progresses

Date Topic Chapters Homework Lecture Notes
Tue Jan 5th

Introduction; why statistics; data types 

In-class exercise

    notes 
Thu Jan 7th Controlled Experiments; observational studies 1,2  

Chapter 2 (p 20)

 A2, A6, A8, A9, A10

6.4, 6.7, 6.9, 6.11

notes
Tue Jan 12th Sample Surveys 19   

Chapter 19

A2, A6, A8, A11, A12

9.1, 9.2, 9.4

notes 
Thu Jan 14th

Introduction to probability

 

(quiz)

13   

 Chapter 13

A1, B1, B2, B4, C4, D1, D3, D7

6.5, 6.7, 6.9, 6.10

notes 
Tue Jan 19th

More probability

 

14   

Chapter 14

A1, A2, B1, B4

6.3, 6.7, 6.9, 6.12

notes 
Thu Jan 21st

The histogram; the average 

 

3, 4 

Chapter 3

A1, A3, A4, A7, B1, B3, C2, E1

8.3, 8.4, 8.10 

 Chapter 4

A2, A4, A6, A8, B1, B2, B5, C1, C4, D1, D8, E4, E8

8.1, 8.4, 8.5, 8.7, 8.9

 
 notes
Tue Jan 26th

Standard deviation; Normal approximation 

4, 5   

Chapter 5

A1, B1, B3, C2, D5

7.1, 7.2, 7.4

 notes
Thu Jan 28th

Binomial probability; law of averages

(quiz) (quiz solutions)

15, 16   

Chapter 15

A1, A4, A5

3.4, 3.6, 3.7

 

Chapter 16

A3, A6, B2, C3

5.1, 5.3, 5.4, 5.7

notes 
Tue Feb 2nd Expected value and standard error  17  

Chapter 17

A1, A2, B1, B4, C1, C2, C5, E9

6.1, 6.3, 6.8, 6.9

 notes
Thu Feb 4th Review      notes
Tue Feb 9th Midterm exam    There are 6 practice midterms in the attachments at the bottom of this page.  Solutions to the first 5 are now available.  The last one will be posted later.  midterm solutions
Thu Feb 11th

Normal approximation for probability histograms;

chance errors in sampling 

18, 20   

Chapter 18

A1, A3, A6, B1, B3, C5, C6

7.1, 7.2, 7.6, 7.11, 7.15

 notes
Tue Feb 16th

Chance errors in Sampling

The accuracy of percentages and averages

20, 21, 23   

Chapter 20

A1, A2, A5, B1, B3, C1, C4

6.1, 6.3, 6.7

 

Chapter 21

A2, A7, A8, B1, B4, C4, C8

6.3, 6.5, 6.8

 notes
Thu Feb 18th

The accuracty of averages.

Hypothesis testing

(quiz) quiz solutions

23, 26  

Chapter 23

A2, A3, A5, B4, B6, D1, D2

5.3, 5.12

 

(Note that chapter 26 covers hypothesis testing, and we didn't cover all the material from that chapter in class today.)

Chapter 26

B2, B5, C1, C4, C7, D1, D4, E2, E3, E10, F2, F3, F7

7.3, 7.11

notes 
Tue Feb 23rd

Hypothesis testing

More hypothesis testing

26

27, 28 

See above.  Note that we did not (and will not) cover the t-test.  notes
Thu Feb 25th

More hypothesis testing

A closer look at tests of significance

(quiz) (quiz solutions)

27,28

29 

 Chapter 27

A1, A4, A6, B2, B5, B7

6.3, 6.5

 
 notes
Tue Mar 1st

A closer look at tests of significance

More on significance tests;

 

Please read measurement error; plotting on your own.

28, 29; 6, 7 

Chapter 28

A3, A4, A9, C2, C3

5.2, 5.3

 Chapter 29

A2, B1, B8, C2, C6

7.3, 7.4

 
 notes
Thu Mar 3rd

Correlation and regresssion 

(quiz)

8, 9, 10   

 Chapter 8

A2, A6, B1, B6, D1

5.2, 5.7

 

Chapter 9

A2, A3, A4, A5, A10, B4, C1, E3, E4

6.2, 6.5, 6.12

 notes
Tue Mar 8th

Regression,

RMS error for regression; regression line 

11, 12  Chapter 11

A2, A4, A7, B1, C1, D1, D6

6.4, 6.6

 

Chapter 12

A2, B1

4.1, 4.7, 4.8

 
notes 
Thu Mar 10th Review     

 notes

review notes

Monday March 14th Final Exam; Baskin Auditorium 101, noon-3pm  

 practice final 1

 practice final 2

 practice final 3

 practice final 4

 practice final 5

practice final 6 

 

 

Additional Information

DRC

If you qualify for classroom accomodations because of a disability, please submit your Accomodation Authorization from the Disability Resource Center (DRC) to me during my office hours in a timely manner, preferably within the first two weeks of the quarter. Contact the DRC at 459-2089 V, 459-4806 TTY.

Academic Integrity

You are reminded of the University's Policy on Academic Integrity.  I hope not to have to remind any of you individually about this policy.

Some Thoughts About Lectures

"In Praise of Lectures" gives some ideas about the purpose of lectures, note-taking, and not being afraid to ask questions. It's target audience is more advanced mathematics students, but everything it says applies here. Think about the ideas it presents, and you will have a better time in AMS7 lectures. In particular

  • Lectures complement reading the textbook. In lectures I can spend extra time explaining ideas that students find confusing or difficult. I can try to judge from your behaviour your level of comprehension and adjust what I say accordingly.
  • I am not, however, a mind-reader. If you have questions, please ask them. If you don't understand something, chances are there are others who don't understand either, but are more inhibited than you are.
  • If you don't want to concentrate on the lecture, you're not required to attend. Please be considerate of those who do want to concentrate.
  • The lectures will present the material, but you will only know if you truly understand it if you try the homework problems. Only by applying the ideas yourself will you know that you have mastered them. “I went to a lecture on the violin, but when I tried playing one it sounded horrid. The lecturer can't have been any good.”
  • If you are having difficulties, please come and see me during office hours. Do this early in the quarter, rather than a week before the final exam. My goal is for everyone to understand and be comfortable with the material. If this is also your goal, I'm willing to do what's needed to help you achieve that goal.
AttachmentSize
PDF icon Syllabus79.99 KB
PDF icon notes_05Jan16171.3 KB
PDF icon notes_07Jan16312.39 KB
PDF icon notes_12Jan16307.18 KB
PDF icon notes_14Jan16338.6 KB
PDF icon quiz1_solutions1.21 MB
PDF icon notes_19Jan16500.48 KB
PDF icon notes_21Jan161.23 MB
PDF icon notes_26Jan16.pdf279.53 KB
PDF icon notes_28Jan16222.55 KB
PDF icon quiz2_solutions80.87 KB
PDF icon midterm_winter0999.23 KB
PDF icon midterm_spring09103.76 KB
PDF icon miderm_fall09228.8 KB
PDF icon midterm_winter10108.46 KB
PDF icon midterm_spring10222.34 KB
PDF icon midterm_spring15356.62 KB
PDF icon midterm_winter09_with_solutions1.2 MB
PDF icon midterm_spring09_with_solutions2.63 MB
PDF icon midterm_fall09_with_solutions4.44 MB
PDF icon midterm_winter10_with_solutions152.85 KB
PDF icon midterm_spring10_with_solutions150.04 KB
PDF icon notes_2Feb16431.67 KB
PDF icon notes_4Feb161.16 MB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 1288.18 KB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 2282.83 KB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 3287.04 KB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 4294.72 KB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 5290.9 KB
Image icon spring 2015 midterm page 6299.47 KB
PDF icon notes_11Feb16578.7 KB
PDF icon midterm_solutions246.54 KB
PDF icon notes_16Feb16612.05 KB
PDF icon quiz3_with_solutions80.04 KB
PDF icon notes_23Feb16409.85 KB
PDF icon notes_18Feb16267.39 KB
PDF icon notes_25Feb16436.39 KB
PDF icon quiz4_with_solutions105.77 KB
PDF icon notes_1Mar16524.09 KB
PDF icon practice_final_176.45 KB
PDF icon practice_final_2123.53 KB
PDF icon practice_final_3107.91 KB
PDF icon practice_final_4136.29 KB
PDF icon practice_final_5243.77 KB
PDF icon notes_3Mar16781.41 KB
PDF icon practice_final_1_solutions229.21 KB
PDF icon practice_final_2_solutions1.53 MB
PDF icon practice_final_3_solutions1.94 MB
PDF icon practice_final_4_solutions2.1 MB
PDF icon practice_final_5_solutions4 MB
PDF icon practice_final_6917.82 KB
PDF icon notes_8Mar16660.66 KB
PDF icon notes_10Mar16172.86 KB
PDF icon review_notes_10Mar16298.86 KB
PDF icon practice_final_6_solutions.pdf939.51 KB